Hunch

Hunch

Prediction markets for friends. Bet on outcomes, compete with your group, and see who's right.

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How It Works

Create Markets
Ask questions about future events. Will it rain tomorrow? Who will win the game?
Set multiple options
Add descriptions
Share with groups
Join Groups
Create or join groups with friends, family, or colleagues to share markets together.
Private groups
Invite friends
Group markets
Connect Friends
Add friends to see their predictions, compare stats, and compete on leaderboards.
Friend requests
View friend stats
Track performance
Place Bets
Bet on your predictions. When the market resolves, winners get paid out proportionally.
Bet any amount
See live odds
Win profits

Simple Flow

1

Create or Join

Set up your account and join a group or create your own

2

Make Predictions

Create markets with questions and place bets on outcomes

3

Resolve & Win

When markets resolve, winners get paid based on their bets

See How Payouts Work

Adjust the bets below and see how winnings are calculated when the market settles. Winners share the losing pool proportionally, and excess funds are refunded.

Who will win the game?

Adjust Bet Amounts (Multiple bets per user supported)

A
Alice
Total bet: $30.00
$30
Net Payout:+$80.00
Net Profit/Loss:+$50.00
B
Bob
Total bet: $20.00
$20
Net Payout:+$70.00
Net Profit/Loss:+$50.00
C
Charlie
Total bet: $100.00
$100
Net Payout:$0.00
Net Profit/Loss:$-100.00

Total Pool Distribution

Team A$50 (33%)
Team B$100 (67%)
Total Pool: $150

Select Winner to See Payouts

Settlement Math

Winning pool (Team A):$50.00
Losing pool:$100.00
Distribution type:
Losers contribute
Total pool:$150.00

Since the winning pool ($50.00) is smaller than the losing pool ($100.00), losers contribute proportionally to make up the winning pot amount. Winners get their bets back plus a proportional share of the winning pot.

Final Payouts (Net per User)

BettorBetsNet PayoutNet Profit/Loss
A
Alice
Winner
$30.00on Team A
Total: $30.00
$80.00+$50.00
B
Bob
Winner
$20.00on Team A
Total: $20.00
$70.00+$50.00
C
Charlie
$100.00on Team B
Total: $100.00
$0.00$-100.00
Total$150.00$150.00$0.00

Notice: Total payouts equal total bets. Net profit/loss is always zero (pure peer-to-peer). Users who bet on both sides have their positions netted out.